Wednesday, March 23, 2022

Why the "4th Industrial Revolution" Won't Happen

There are many videos of "teslas waiting in line to charge". The fanbois will say, "eventually the infrastructure will be built out, we did it with gasoline".

Let's compare and contrast the various stages of industrialization with the so called "4th industrial revolution".

When people were settling northeast Ohio around 1800, they could build mills, foundries, and steel furnaces with found-materials and bronze and iron-age technology. A couple of guys with a saw and some trees could make a mill for processing wheat into flour. A couple of guys with a saw and some trees and a forge could start turning out plows and tools. People traveled the country via a system of dirt roads and canals and other waterways.

The next layer of infrastructure was built with coal and steam and more centralized production of steel--but it was still age old technology and techniques. Coal was abundant, cheap, and could be easily mined and "stored"--aka put in a pile.

The next layer of infrastructure was built with oil. Oil was abundant and cheap and was easily extracted and stored--aka put in a big container.

Now, we've got a "high tech" society which seems to have all kinds of advantages, i.e. it's more "efficient" and more elaborate plans can be made and carried out because of computers. The next layer of infrastructure, they assume, will be electric and controlled (aka "smart"). However, this layer of infrastructure is extremely expensive and fragile compared to the prior era infrastructure. It costs hundreds of times more to store electricity in a battery than to store oil, coal, or wood energy. Solar panels require a lot of energy to manufacture, etc...

An "EV charging station" that's equal to a run of the mill gas station is going to cost a fortune by comparison. It's not going to be plausible to just plug the vehicles into a direct grid-powered unit. There will be some buffer device in between the grid and the cars, like a battery or some such gizmo. That thing will have to be huge to provide anything close to the level of service of a basic-bitch corner gas station. It will be constantly drawing power from the grid or charging from solar panels. Otherwise, each EV charging station will have its own large substation and tie-in to high voltage lines... which aren't even available everywhere. Anyway, all that is expensive. Compare that to digging a hole and sticking a big tank in the ground.

I don't think it's going to happen. It doesn't make any sense at all. I think the "technotronic" society looks like a total dead end. There's no value added by the control layer--it's just all expense and bureaucracy. People will be toiling away to enslave themselves? Even the most covid-tarded people eventually woke up to that scam, so how long will people keep busting their ass to empower inbred oligarch freaks?

It's much more plausible IMO that some electrical->liquid fuel process gets perfected. Then you could put huge solar installations in the desert and produce really green fuel. That might keep this current civilization going for a while. If that doesn't happen, we'll be riding horses before we replace the whole transportation grid with EVs.

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