Sunday, June 28, 2020

Covid Mortality Rates in Perspective


In the worst hit parts of the country, the deaths per 100k is on par with "lifetime odds" of dying from a pedestrian accident. This is not an apples to apples stat comparison, but it's probably a reasonable rough-order-of-magnitude estimate. Interestingly, the NSC hasn't calculated a lifetime odds of dying from the 'rona, because according to them "it's too soon to know". That's a cop out. They could model the odds of a typical person based on the current data, which is pretty elaborately detailed. The odds of dying seems to really vary by demographic and state and health. I think they want to avoid doing that modeling because it would seriously undermine the bullshit scare narrative.

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