Tuesday, August 2, 2022

Nuclear Power Failures Demonstrate Futility of Megaprojects

The last two attempts to build nuclear reactors in the USA led to the bankruptcy of Westinghouse, because both projects failed.

On paper it's feasible to build a nuclear power plant. In reality it's just not possible. It was just barely possible when the USA was at the peak of its wealth and when the average IQ was over 100. That's why, by the way, nuclear power is so stupid and dangerous. Those plants will need to be managed in perpetuity--by whom? The average IQ in the US and around the world keeps going down. There aren't enough workers now to fully staff Arby's around the country, but many people want to build more nuclear power plants, especially people on "the right". It's a weird disconnect.

Green energy plans are even more complex than a single nuclear power plant. In a nutshell the plan is to build distributed production facilities, even down to the per-home level, connect the big ones with 100,000s of miles of HV cables to a meshed grid, and control the home thing with "AIs" and computers and IOTs gizmos and wireless networks. On paper, it looks extremely expensive but feasible. Back of the envelope plans seem like they'll work, but real life will chew up those schemes and destroy them one by one.

The capacity of countries to tackle mega projects is declining year by year. One of the problems is people are too stupid to do them. The other is resources will need to be prioritized to maintain existing infrastructure and capability.

Here's what I think happens: attempt to go "green" will turn out like nuclear power--too expensive on a national scale. A few mega projects will be completed, a lot will be dismantled or left to rot.

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