Saturday, November 30, 2019

Place yer bets

They're really pushing electric cars, even though lithium batteries are still pretty crappy. Electric cars have advantages over internal combustion vehicles, but they also have many problems, like long charge times, poor performance in cold weather, and lack of infrastructure (including the national grid). Some of those problems will have engineering solutions, and some might not.

In spite of the limitations of electric cars, central planners want to replace fossil fuel liquid transportation with electric vehicles. They'll have to force the change via rules and regulations. The state of California is pushing that process along by switching their state vehicles to an all electric fleet, for example, even though they don't have a sufficiently reliable electric grid to keep the power on when it's windy.

Central planning has killed more people than disease and war. It'll be interesting to see how the central planning electric car game plays out. I think the idea dates to the 1960's and 70's and is only now being pushed forward since lithium batteries made them more plausible. Electric vehicles facilitate more central planning and control rather than "eliminating greehouse emissions", which is just a lie.

If it stays at the state level, it'll be obvious that the advantage of liquid fuel vehicles is significant, at least for now. A central planning corporation like Tesla is a large scale speculative bet that the battery problems can be sorted out by throwing money at them. Central planning and innovation don't really go together, though.

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