Their models are low fidelity cartoon representations of reality. The high fidelity experience of reality supersedes a simple model that's amenable to the "belief" machinery of the brain. Generally, the "believer" can't adjust or throw their model out when their personal experience demonstrates their belief model is broken.
Sometimes the models don't have any relation to reality at all. Some religious and political beliefs are completely disconnected from it and are mere opinions are assertions.
I think the fires that just burned down large sections of LA are realities that collide with lots of very flawed beliefs. One belief is the government is omnipotent and capable of protecting people from all eventualities. The reality is the government is just a bunch of people who are typically not very high functioning nor good at their jobs, plus humanity is really quite limited compared to the scale of natural disasters.
Really, all that matters when it comes to building something in 3D reality is nature and natural laws. Wishes and beliefs don't help anybody.
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