Thursday, May 1, 2025

The Tech Industry is Utterly Saturated in Every Way

I saw recently that Amazon is launching an internet over satellite network. I thought that is a good sign the tech world is totally saturated with super expensive garbage nobody cares about or needs. I worked at companies that built satellite internet crap since the early 2000s.

In the early 2000s there were very few internet over satellite businesses. It was an esoteric, niche market. I worked at a small company that was building such systems, and it was purchased by a publicly traded company that subsequently launched some satellites and provides network service for homes and airplanes.

Then SpaceX/Starlink got bazillions of dollars somehow to build rockets and low earth orbit satellites for internet service. Then years later Amazon did the same thing. There are serious questions about the profitability of Starlink even years after the service was deployed. In spite of that Amazon decided to invest billions in doing an identical service.

Anyway, that same type of thing is happening in every nook and cranny of the tech industry. There's always some new gizmo, a new CPU, a new GPU whatever. The cost to develop all the tech stuff keeps dropping as well. An individual can spend a few hundred dollars and start working on RISC-V processor core development for example.

This problem happened multiple times in US history. In the 1890s economics commentator newspaper people were complaining about the lack of investment opportunities because the US didn't need any new bicycle factories. Similarly, the railroad industry became saturated in the US in maybe 1870? 1880? There was a crash/consolidation in the railroad industry in 1893.

This problem has two facets. One is "investors" have a much harder time making money with their money. They have to find weirder, more exotic niches to try to make money on. That also makes it easier for scammers to exploit them. The other problem is the workforce gets diluted and spends their life on stupid projects. There's not enough qualified people to do all these things.

Let's go back to the Internet over satellite business. Did the number of qualified tech workers quadruple from 2000 to 2025 so there will be a sufficient population of tech dudes to work at amazon, starlink, ViaSat, etc...? Nope. Did tech work get 1/4 easier over that timespan? No, it's definitely better/easier than it was in the 2000s in terms of tools and foundational solutions to problems that tech systems need to solve, but is it 4x better? I doubt it.

I think all this leads to major dysfunction. I see it on a daily basis. Tech junk doesn't work very well. New tech heavy products often have major bugs. Software updates have a very good chance of breaking things that used to work, etc...

Another major problem with all this tech crap is it has been financed with money printing and dollar devaluation. That devaluation went mainly to improve the quality of life of corporate executives and shareholders. The rest of the population has been fucked over by it. It is a disincentive to work and certainly to slave away like a dope for free doing over 40 hours of work at some corporate job.

Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Giant Corporations and Governments = Death Spiral

It's very difficult to come up with genuine improvements to the technology toolkit of humanity. It's a slow process of trial and error. The road bicycle provides a great long term example of a piece of technology that's been honed and improved continuously since it was first invented. For every genuine improvement, there are dozens, probably hundreds of failures.

It doesn't take much capital equipment to make road bike components so there are many smallish companies that make bike parts or whole bikes. Similarly, it doesn't take much for an individual to buy some component and install it on a bike. Consequently, there's a constant froth of experiments going on with bikes.

Even though there are "scientific" methods for testing the improvements, for example, one can go to a wind tunnel and determine if a new handlebar offer improved aerodynamic efficiency. However, the real world efficacy of an improvement ultimately determines its fate. The real world efficacy is generally impractical to measure in a scientific/lab setting because the broad spectrum of real world scenarios can't be systematically tested.

This scenario applies to technology in general and really to life in general and is why central planning fails over and over, whether it's in the context of a government or a corporation. The road bike keeps improving because there's no controlling authority limiting the range of uses and experiments.

In scenarios where a controlling authority directs development of technology, or experiments that go on within an individual household, for example, to improve ways to get household chores done, or whatever, the range of options and possibilities that can be tried and tested is drastically reduced and the process can be entirely corrupt of course.

Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Giant Corporations, Giant Governments, or Something Else

Two of the big markets in the US, the automobile market and the housing market are utterly fucked. In certain locations, it's basically impossible for a young person to buy a house. The average house price to median income ratio is at an all time high. It used to be about 3:1, now it's about 6:1. New cars are stupidly expensive. Only a very wealthy household, like top 3% can really afford to waste the tens of thousands of dollars of depreciation per new vehicle purchase, and even for them, it's a major financial setback to buy a couple of new cars every few years. On top of that, even companies that used to be known for reliability, like Toyota, struggle with quality control issues.

To me, it looks like a big delamination in the US economy and in society in general. Big institutions like governments and corporations and universities are completely bonkers, corrupt, and ineffectual. They are floating away from the rest of the population in a bubble of their own insanity. The mom and pop american people don't have the luxury of ideological insanity and don't make a living off graft and corruption and financial circle jerking.

I think there's going to be a period of innovation outside the corporate/financial system in the next years driven by the necessity of life and the outsized corruption and incompetence in the system itself. It's never been easier and cheaper to produce various goods. It doesn't seem likely that individuals in the US will continually subsidize and slave away for corporate executives, investors, and shareholders.

The institutions controlled by "the left" are outmoded for similar reasons. Why will individuals indefinitely subsidize college professors and giant, corrupt regulatory agencies and hoardes of bureaucrats?  

Monday, March 17, 2025

They Can't Wait to do Real Slave Coin

 It's pretty obvious to me that, out of nowhere, Elon Musk for some random reason is "auditing" the federal government, as a giga-swindle prelude to a "central bank digital currency". Dopes will think it's totally tits to have one form of slave money over the previous "fiat" currency slave money. It will be done under the aegis of accountability. It's just another scam.

Monday, March 10, 2025

The Realm of Swindleheim

Several years ago I realized the World of Man is the World of Lies. The biggest liars and frauds are the wealthiest most "powerful" people in this realm of Swindleheim. Essentially this realm of the mind is ruled by used car salesman types. Weirdly, people just keep going along with all the lies.

Elon Musk is one of the most obvious frauds there is. His PR narrative is he's Tony Stark and something from an Ayn Rand novel, but SpaceX and Tesla are more or less spin offs of the Federal Government. Tesla was made possible by taxpayer money and government mandates. Ironically the people who bought a Tesla because of too many CO2 molecules swirling around their heads now hate Tesla and Elon Musk because he's a fascist or whatever nonsense they believe today.

Anyway, I thought I'd write about a less prominent swindler/literal car salesman who utterly wrecked Stellantis but got paid $39.5 million dollars in his last year as a CEO. Carlos Tavares was the CEO of "Stellantis", the US market Chrysler/Jeep/Fiat and made over $100M in the four years he had the job. It seems that company painted itself into a corner with high vehicle prices and sketchy quality.

Why even write about what's the norm? There's not really any point.

Sunday, February 9, 2025

Death World/Life World

We have some ducks and a duck pond on our property. It's uphill from the garden and some fruit trees and other trees. A couple of years of duck pond overflow transformed the soil. The trees growing downhill from the pond probably grow 8-10x faster than their counterparts elsewhere in the yard. I planted some locust trees, for example, all across the back yard. The one that's directly in the path of the flow from the pond is about 15 feet tall and has a 4-6" trunk now.

I've been feeding animals on the property for about 10 years too. It's basically the same principle as the duck pond. Life creates the conditions for more life, generally speaking, although certain circumstances can make that work more efficiently, like the duck pond scenario on my property. I'm going to replicate that all through the landscape over the next 10-20 years if I live that long anyway.

The extra-dimensional civilization entity, on the other hand, creates death and sterility. Some people equate that sterility to "cleanliness". The world of stuff: tech, boats, cars, motorcycles, concrete, glass runs contrary to the positive cycle of natural life.

Nature seems to want to create a profusion of forms and complexity, while the demons of civilization wants simple shapes, colors, and textures for some strange reason. You can see this play out in older homes when people paint woodwork or brickwork so it is literally coated with a layer of plastic and pigment. Landscapers do the same thing for homeowners: green square of uniform length grass. Mulch. Etc...

It's actually quite weird that people live in such opposition to the natural order of things.

Keeping Chickens: Easy AF

There's currently an "egg shortage", although I don't see any evidence of that at my local grocery store.

My family didn't have any farm animals when I was growing up. I think lots of parents of the 1970s and 80s who maybe grew up on a farm considered it "low class" or something to keep farm animals. They were trying to live the "fancy"/garbage life they saw in movies and TV shows. Anyway, I didn't have any chickens or ducks until recent years. Now we have a small flock of birds.

Chickens are trivially easy to take care of. Ducks are slightly more complicated because they constantly need water. If you live in a cold area, it takes some ingenuity to supply sufficient liquid water to ducks year 'round. Chickens just need a coop, some food, and are much more robust when it comes to water needs. Almost any enclosed/shelter providing structure can serve as a chicken coop. An old shed can house chickens. A few sheets of plywood tacked together on trash 2x4's will work, etc... 

Anyway, it's significantly easier to take care of chickens than a dog or a cat. It's maybe 10 minutes of work per day or less. In addition to providing eggs or meat if you choose to kill and eat them, the chickens provide fertilizer for gardens or ornamental plants.

Most people with a house could easily have a small flock of chickens. I think it would have been a good experience when I was a kid to take care of some birds and see how they act. It's a way to get some wisdom as a young one.